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Frozen pre-match forecast · #215117

Belgrano Cordoba VS Barracas Central

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.58%
Draw
28.42%
Away
20.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8184
Log loss
1.2581

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
977ad663768aa527a629e4f328ce4571f8c1fd0346a55da62811b40c3e5205c0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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