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Frozen pre-match forecast · #215112

BK Hacken VS IFK Goteborg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.75%
Draw
21.97%
Away
23.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3073
Log loss
0.6025

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2e5b0d9c71d11f4afb5ed1e8cf9fb09bdb19a4f919f2f710ff33b0243bc140ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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