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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21510

Oriente Petrolero VS Blooming

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.17%
Draw
20.74%
Away
27.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3452
Log loss
0.6507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
c6f05dd4115fc545ea9d353ddf1cb648db773ad59fcb6f33d6040d6b8eccd092

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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