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Frozen pre-match forecast · #215094

RB Bragantino VS Santos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.32%
Draw
24.47%
Away
27.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4011
Log loss
0.7274

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
3df4199a073a7c645fda7ac456db2f20212b75f841c3afeba403e4018cae76aa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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