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Frozen pre-match forecast · #215012

Bsk Bijelo Brdo VS Kustosija

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.61%
Draw
29.06%
Away
30.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7348
Log loss
1.1930

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
d78d85cf5d8f028c6eea309b101776845c627998f1d907f1e73e2548a5d41483

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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