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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214885

ASKO VS Derby Academie

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.40%
Draw
30.41%
Away
34.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6509
Log loss
1.0732

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
4a280988e25bf221886afb9afa9c0731de1ae05febdbbed82a70b6ff17b7c178

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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