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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214882

Bakaridjan VS Afrique Football Élite

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.94%
Draw
29.29%
Away
30.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5412
Log loss
0.9178

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
b76758ef93f18d33c347c60144fcad6ff92526fda8d9d115407675bc9f9133d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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