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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214830

Wadi Degla VS Zamalek SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.06%
Draw
28.98%
Away
41.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7633
Log loss
1.2358

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
3f794b3f6758bd65884554b963cb8a5f82c0fec4ba1e4967a95c1103d61c077e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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