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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214821

Panambi VS São Paulo RS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.79%
Draw
24.55%
Away
23.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3487
Log loss
0.6580

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
e74063402b20cfdd289750b663c1c8f6b2e9890a85987a0134d80f7411f9b83e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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