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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214784

AS Gabes VS AS Soliman

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.93%
Draw
30.05%
Away
36.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7341
Log loss
1.2022

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
ffe9b08c525046fd1e90cbe4bd45d78fd50620c153c339da456734591c44f18b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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