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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214561

Al Bidda SC VS Muaither SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.34%
Draw
24.64%
Away
45.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7486
Log loss
1.1927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
d692cc5ea2c4f7639e026f125a9121bd79796817dc7ef4fd26eda0dbcd494859

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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