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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214491

Pohang Steelers VS Gamba Osaka

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.23%
Draw
20.30%
Away
67.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1054
Log loss
1.5945

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6dcbbdc551a73dbc8c059a40607a74e5c316a4deb11a57df4c8600a6bec6cfcd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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