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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21442

Chaco For Ever VS Almirante Brown

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.68%
Draw
41.58%
Away
17.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5562
Log loss
0.8994

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
SHA-256
beb4eb446bbdfee8a24b94e72f25d4599ec15298631332a2e57bbe966e69af1f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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