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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214396

Galatasaray VS VfB Stuttgart

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.91%
Draw
22.89%
Away
34.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4953
Log loss
0.8461

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
8a9be38464f4092fc301999abf5821f8bbd31f0314430ba8a2be6eca3f2d401b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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