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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214354

Al Najoom VS Al Shoalah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.69%
Draw
24.92%
Away
38.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8457
Log loss
1.3895

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
3f469b8e531b6564cf0fa251ef8b046cdcab12431eddba65ae743c0e17e4e791

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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