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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214352

Leeds United U18 VS Blackburn Rovers U18

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.06%
Draw
16.78%
Away
24.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9523
Log loss
1.4208

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
8fa4683663239c60d16492b7d50ce4d8fdf0d7776bd4e436f1cc5e81251a2044

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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