Frozen pre-match forecast · #214323
Gainare Tottori VS Sagamihara
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 35.31%
- Draw
- 26.48%
- Away
- 38.21%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5766
- Log loss
- 0.9621
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
- SHA-256
- 60770f86608e8da1e019bac6b7605b7179b7f278879af7d447163e5f8fca8556
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.