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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214261

Sonderjyske VS FC Copenhagen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.29%
Draw
19.30%
Away
65.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1803
Log loss
0.4245

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
84f92911a6c0171deea35e1da3e64133c15e843b8a4129e9dbe76014e209987a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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