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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214257

Teuta Durrës VS Partizani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.66%
Draw
20.96%
Away
11.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2871
Log loss
2.1733

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
c1da9653e701ff920636b460c9a4a1c652b2c5bd440f9142950a138b24ec8f78

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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