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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214218

Bani Yas U23 VS Al Jazira U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.70%
Draw
23.94%
Away
28.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7981
Log loss
1.2602

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
4af7be5aca0121a0b9c8eb4117c6c41aa1572738e1954741c3036ac57e4063a0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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