Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #214211

Vora VS Dinamo Tirana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.25%
Draw
27.11%
Away
42.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8047
Log loss
1.3054

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6eef651b82d4f1915e173f730ee68ac11a7ad2bf1cc85cba58e6cea84f221047

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →