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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214169

Racing de Veracruz 2 VS Heroes de Zaci 2

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
78.65%
Draw
14.23%
Away
7.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0709
Log loss
0.2402

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
5c4d929d9f90ed9b3bc4ad646cfd521454eedee5128619bd15e540a582da5ca5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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