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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214138

Deportivo San Pedro VS Municipal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.92%
Draw
28.87%
Away
36.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6380
Log loss
1.0521

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
4c070bef52e850bfe905623e36a0a245e714ae00afb1446ab32c6dcc86bab9a8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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