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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214075

Zamora VS Deportivo La Coruña II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.04%
Draw
23.59%
Away
15.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1447
Log loss
1.8733

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
1ffe1ab0726dcde1e016dc641c2dcc6eadf7cbe2a31d233b711dfef8c97799a2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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