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Frozen pre-match forecast · #214028

SS Reyes II VS Leganés II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.22%
Draw
23.62%
Away
45.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4539
Log loss
0.7948

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
86b38cef170d1df78d56da45f05b8616f1483384eb90517d3d640d8cd1f3bae1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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