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Frozen pre-match forecast · #213989

Como W VS AC Milan W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.57%
Draw
27.75%
Away
37.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6471
Log loss
1.0622

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
008f11cc991a93b417b330b7ea68776fb01f8638a600f8a6c226c93296d50cac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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