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Frozen pre-match forecast · #213980

OFK Bor 1919 VS FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.70%
Draw
24.55%
Away
29.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7626
Log loss
1.2123

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
2b625fbbbd97da1eeca11211775d512e6db461ac9ce56b8f3a596e70f6c76ebc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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