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Frozen pre-match forecast · #213946

Wiliete VS Sporting de Cabinda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.49%
Draw
18.01%
Away
6.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0967
Log loss
0.2812

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
97081256abd4ac069f1690414a7c63106fef8a0d24ce9602a5ff98178c4b0b93

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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