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Frozen pre-match forecast · #213899

Malaga City VS Huétor Vega

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.02%
Draw
24.71%
Away
45.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4507
Log loss
0.7925

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
129e802e6f7d889f0059133fd00d842e5fb1d2a5e28a4f878400ad4ff96223aa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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