Frozen pre-match forecast · #213753
Tallinna Kalev II VS Tartu Kalev
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 47.21%
- Draw
- 20.02%
- Away
- 32.77%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4261
- Log loss
- 0.7506
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
Get the full match analysis
Explore additional markets, team probability history and opponent-adjusted form. Historical coverage varies by match.
About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- SHA-256
- b2e30435aec4e0048c811983b6f2dddb38043e9971a0e3f923b2b4376dc40520
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.