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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21370

Brann VS Bodo/Glimt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.54%
Draw
21.07%
Away
52.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8585
Log loss
1.3265

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
c46cea2eb15cad65a776865d85fbd3bea9b37a7b60038373ca9f52c214309146

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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