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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21361

Omonia Aradippou VS Olympiakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.33%
Draw
34.27%
Away
32.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6481
Log loss
1.0709

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
ea5caf2c40a226e9751d9600b1fd6f55f1e15721fd86c6cc6c64c733e8d28eb7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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