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Frozen pre-match forecast · #213578

Club Milano VS Scanzorosciate

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.99%
Draw
29.07%
Away
30.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7215
Log loss
1.1733

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
e60a7e979e43e23c7972e7e3691108b1b782d1713114db813f25423fbf184102

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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