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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21352

Zeta VS Jedinstvo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.46%
Draw
39.42%
Away
22.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9098
Log loss
1.5087

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
8870553e6a4088d4eda447a1b4716f069e981e6c2e293a5119ce8351050b953f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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