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Frozen pre-match forecast · #213463

Getafe VS Sevilla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.91%
Draw
30.71%
Away
37.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6977
Log loss
1.1423

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
c9c77bf7ebaaa922988e917dcf25d6ed88a17eebe7d3fe970d5f30479cc11ed4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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