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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212978

Bocholt VS Sint-Truiden II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.96%
Draw
20.55%
Away
30.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9639
Log loss
1.5823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
6e23b70e81c3560793964edb3352d85d14b97d00a3509917b869b58a8c232af4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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