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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212932

Universitatea Craiova VS FC Botosani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.91%
Draw
18.52%
Away
11.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1382
Log loss
0.3580

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
e90c433d96e75fa9ca0ee5c6b07e253c28f2164fe9af6e2e6423092987727b1b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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