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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212904

Tottenham VS Crystal Palace

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.82%
Draw
20.93%
Away
17.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2193
Log loss
0.4809

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
107546eebd7f2c9913418a0c3d0a5612bf79ad54483c2c850aa53d8ddd1b595f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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