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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212835

Kolos Kovalivka II VS Metal Kharkiv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.45%
Draw
28.28%
Away
39.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5541
Log loss
0.9347

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
e1c1917fd8a648d51d409a6a51ba490be144774b11b97e979a9d5e39189e5b59

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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