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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212815

Radomiak Radom VS Slask Wroclaw

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.21%
Draw
24.01%
Away
31.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4698
Log loss
0.8161

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
50719651002b846f1f7d39c789fe15509b206d55eba4dd44d22a92043f0262e4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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