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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212704

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb VS NK Osijek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.25%
Draw
25.90%
Away
38.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5653
Log loss
0.9455

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
319707c7101e61f8ea5b1667c41d0e72e2d30a4d07823e82dab8abca9cec0b21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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