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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212450

Jedinstvo VS Rudar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.70%
Draw
20.82%
Away
14.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1890
Log loss
0.4355

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
1c0b045a030790e59dd3ea8970a08d378f3b2e7dbcd6321ea4df1e4ab71f8327

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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