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Frozen pre-match forecast · #212130

Uskok Klis VS Lucko

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.72%
Draw
18.32%
Away
9.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1235
Log loss
0.3324

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
be9ed6e347d1c38dd40ef9bb67eeb050c466f8dfd806956a4d60cb73a801beb2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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