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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211925

Fasil Ketema VS Bahardar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.74%
Draw
34.40%
Away
36.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
b7c7d050bf59f3b34f4554bfa4664148c9c11f4b8b5fdd57588a5afbd2a3d95a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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