Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #21186

Samartex VS Asante Kotoko

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.21%
Draw
44.17%
Away
12.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5143
Log loss
0.8171

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
02b8ff812a87b17f620255eb915661e7e16385a93f98383d0f6cb9cb0be84f92

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →