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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211828

Kristianstad VS Eskilsminne

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.87%
Draw
23.33%
Away
29.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4255
Log loss
0.7578

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
04025772fc3dae0bcaedaad0552302fc85dc76f6da67a991546a1f8cdee15adb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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