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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21182

Debibi United VS Young Apostles

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.70%
Draw
41.66%
Away
17.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5563
Log loss
0.8988

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
efd23ec8a5f6ce98b941270cda3b6f995086f25b934b00bf552bfd9a4b3953d8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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