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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211590

Ibiza VS Europa Fc

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.22%
Draw
23.25%
Away
17.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2511
Log loss
0.5239

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
0354dfacac46d9dc4cb70efe51458850ed4744308175a58dc42988a40a1d7bb5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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