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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21152

Waldhof Mannheim VS Preußen Münster

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.50%
Draw
25.66%
Away
32.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5160
Log loss
0.8796

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
fbd2305df8df8875a453760a23a6d7b7689d3b89c5184afd42e4594e067c20be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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