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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211267

Prat VS Athletic Club

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
1.09%
Draw
3.73%
Away
95.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0038
Log loss
0.0494

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
f284b8377ce7fa61828492131d71fc16db7eb51cea62db86f9ea062f41730418

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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